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Theme: Demography and Decline

January 24, 2007

CWNews: Italy’s demographic slump continuing

The latest demographic statistics for 2005 show only 1.33 children being born to the average woman in Italy over the course of her childbearing years (15-49).

That figure remains one of the lowest in Europe, and well below the “replacement level” needed to maintain a constant population, but somewhat higher than the all-time low of 1.19 recorded in Italy in 1995.

In recent decades Italy has consistently ranked among Europe’s least fertile countries in terms of population, with the number of children born to the average woman falling regularly below the replacement level, except for a brief “baby-boom” in the early 1960s that brought the average childbearing figure up to 2.7.

The latest figures, from an ISTAT data survey, show that the average age of an Italian woman giving birth to her first child is 29.

Spengler: Spain’s elections show why radical Islam can win

No country in the world is more determined to disappear. The country’s fertility rate of 1.12 live births per female is the lowest in the world. As recently as 1975, at the death of strongman Francisco Franco, the fertility rate stood at 3 births per female in 1976. By 2050 Spain will have lost a quarter of its population. Germany and Italy, whose fertility rates fell earlier than Spain’s, will lose a third, according to economist Anthony Scholefield.

Half a millennium after the Reconquista, when Spanish Catholicism expelled the country’s Muslims and Jews, Spain has no choice but to ask the Muslims to return and take possession of its land by stages.

AP: France Touts Rising Fertility Rate

The fertility rate was 2.0 children per woman, up from 1.92 in 2005, and that might make France the most fertile nation in the European Union, Insee director Jean-Michel Charpin predicted.

In 2005, only Ireland had a higher fertility rate than France: the Irish rate was 1.99, to France’s 1.94. Irish figures for 2006 were not yet available.

“The deciding factor comes from the fact that it is easier to reconcile professional activity and a family life here than in most other European countries,” Charpin said at a news conference.

(…)

Among its pro-family measures, the French government offers euro750 (US$970) a month to parents who take one year’s unpaid leave from work after the birth of a third child. Large families also get shopping discounts and reduced fares on public transport. French fathers are also guaranteed paid paternity leave, a measure championed by Royal, herself a mother of four, who would be France’s first woman president.

(…)

The number of French marriages is continuing to decline, as more and more French couples are choosing to form civil unions instead, Insee said.

LifeSiteNews: German Population Plunge “Irreversible,” Federal Stats Office Admits
Expected that one third of all European children will be born to Muslim families by 2025

Germany’s downward spiral in population is no longer reversible, the country’s federal statistics office said Tuesday. The birthrate has dropped so low that immigration numbers cannot compensate.

“The fall in the population can no longer be stopped,” vice-president Walter Rademacher with the Federal Statistics Office said, reported Agence France-Presse.

Germany has the lowest birthrate in Europe, with an average of 1.36 children per woman. Despite government incentives to encourage larger families, the population is dropping rapidly and that trend will continue, with an expected loss of as much as 12 million by 2050….

(…)

Germany has one of the largest populations of Muslim immigrants in Western Europe, with a Muslim community of over 3 million. That trend is expected to continue, leading some demographic trend-watchers to warn that the country is well on the way to becoming a Muslim state by 2050, Deutsche Welle reported.

The Brussels Journal reported last month that one third of all European children will be born to Muslim families by 2025. There are an estimated 50 million Muslims living in Europe today–that number is expected to double over the next twenty years.

The population losses faced by Germany reflect a trend occurring across Europe–The European Union’s statistics agency Eurostat has predicted an overall drop in Europe’s population of 7 million people by 2050.

The demographic decline coincides with a dramatic drop in Christian religious belief and a consequent rejection of Christian morality and emphasis on the benefits of family life and children.

BBC News: Russia faces demographic disaster

The country’s population is declining by at least 700,000 people each year, leading to slow depopulation of the northern and eastern extremes of Russia, the emergence of hundreds of uninhabited “ghost villages” and an increasingly aged workforce.

Now, one of Russia’s leading sociologists has warned that the country’s population may halve by the middle of this century.

Spengler: The demographics of radical Islam

…the Muslim world half a century from now can expect the short end of the stick from the modern world. It has generated only two great surpluses, namely people and oil. By the middle of the century both of these will have begun to dwindle. But at the moment it has 25 million idle young men. No leader can remain in power who does not give them a destination to march to.

By no means does that imply that all of these 25 million will become suicide bombers, but a great many of them are likely to emigrate to Europe, including Eastern Europe, where populations are stagnant and about to decline. A Muslim takeover of Western Europe surely is a possible outcome.

Catholic Online: Avoiding the Demographic Decline. Interview With Journalist Riccardo Cascioli

Benedict XVI has finally put his finger on the problem: The real issue has to do with the meaning we give to life, because there is no financial incentive that could convince me to have children, if I live withdrawn in myself and am afraid of the future.

And here is the great task of the Church, because only the proclamation of Christ can reawaken to life a society that is sliding inexorably towards death.

The Pope’s address sounds, therefore, as a severe call also to those sectors of the Church that, when they address the demographic question, underscore almost exclusively the political options that governments must take.

The state has indeed the duty to remove obstacles — economic and social — to my freedom to decide how many children to have, but it cannot also give me the profound reasons to have them. Love and hope are before the state.

See also:
Spengler: Why Europe Chooses Extinction
Mark Steyn: It’s the Demography, Stupid
BBC News: The EU’s baby blues
Population Research Institute: The European Demographic Crisis and the Pope
Life Issues: The New Global Leader in Demographic Decline
NRO: Rod Dreher: Buchanan’s Brief
JihadWatch: Fitzgerald: Demography and Destiny

Recommended Site:
Population Research Institute: FAQ’s

Related Posts:
Debate: Does the future belong to Islam?

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